Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPorthmadog to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Buckley Town vs Porthmadog preview and prediction
The match
Buckley Town host Porthmadog in the FAW Championship on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Buckley Town are 9th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Porthmadog sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Buckley Town's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Llanuwchllyn 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.6 for Buckley Town and 1.9 for Porthmadog. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buckley Town 34%, draw 19%, Porthmadog 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Buckley Town 1–1 Porthmadog. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buckley Town34%fair 2.98 · @2.70
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.60
Porthmadog47%fair 2.12 · @2.10
3.50Expected goals
1.58Buckley Town xG
1.92Porthmadog xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Buckley Town 1.6 – 1.9 Porthmadog expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Porthmadog to win✗
47%
2.12
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Porthmadog ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Porthmadog / FT Porthmadog✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.39
–
Form
Buckley Town – last 6
LLLLLL
8 Aug
@ Llanuwchllyn
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Denbigh Town
2–4
L
23 Jun
vs Llandudno
0–6
L
13 Apr
@ Caersws
2–3
L
3 Apr
vs Brickfield Rangers
0–6
L
27 Mar
@ Ruthin Town
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Porthmadog – last 2
WW
8 Aug
vs Rhyl
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Penrhyncoch
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buckley Town and Porthmadog.
What is the prediction for Buckley Town vs Porthmadog?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Buckley Town vs Porthmadog?
On our numbers Buckley Town have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Porthmadog 47%.
How many goals will there be in Buckley Town vs Porthmadog?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buckley Town vs Porthmadog?
Our predicted score is Buckley Town 1–1 Porthmadog, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Buckley Town vs Porthmadog?
Buckley Town vs Porthmadog (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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