Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewtown AFC to win ✓61% · @1.44
Double chanceNewtown AFC or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Newtown AFC vs Penrhyncoch preview and prediction
The match
Newtown AFC host Penrhyncoch in the FAW Championship on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Latham Park. Newtown AFC are 2nd with 30 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Penrhyncoch sit 16th on 1 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Newtown AFC's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Gresford Athletic 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Penrhyncoch's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Porthmadog 1–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Newtown AFC and 1.2 for Penrhyncoch. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newtown AFC 61%, draw 20%, Penrhyncoch 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Newtown AFC 2–1 Penrhyncoch. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newtown AFC61%fair 1.65 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.90
Penrhyncoch19%fair 5.26 · @5.00
3.50Expected goals
2.28Newtown AFC xG
1.22Penrhyncoch xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Newtown AFC 2.3 – 1.2 Penrhyncoch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newtown AFC to win✓
61%
1.65
1.44
Double chance
Newtown AFC or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Newtown AFC ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Form
Newtown AFC – last 6
WLLWLL
2 Aug
@ Gresford Athletic
3–0
W
8 Apr
@ Holywell
0–6
L
3 Apr
vs Mold Alexandra
1–2
L
24 Mar
vs Rhyl
6–1
W
20 Mar
vs Buckley Town
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Gresford Athletic
0–5
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Penrhyncoch – last 3
LWL
1 Aug
vs Porthmadog
1–3
L
6 Apr
@ Caersws
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Denbigh Town
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newtown AFC and Penrhyncoch.
What is the prediction for Newtown AFC vs Penrhyncoch?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Penrhyncoch?
On our numbers Newtown AFC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Penrhyncoch 19%.
How many goals will there be in Newtown AFC vs Penrhyncoch?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newtown AFC vs Penrhyncoch?
Our predicted score is Newtown AFC 2–1 Penrhyncoch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Newtown AFC vs Penrhyncoch?
Newtown AFC vs Penrhyncoch (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Latham Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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