Merelbeke host Dessel Sport in the First Amateur Division on Wednesday 30 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Merelbeke's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to AS Eupen 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dessel Sport's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Cercle Brugge II 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.0 for Merelbeke and 1.9 for Dessel Sport. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 69%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Merelbeke 43%, draw 21%, Dessel Sport 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Merelbeke 2–1 Dessel Sport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Merelbeke43%fair 2.34 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.75
Dessel Sport36%fair 2.75 · @2.70
3.88Expected goals
2.02Merelbeke xG
1.86Dessel Sport xG
69%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Merelbeke 2.0 – 1.9 Dessel Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merelbeke to win✗
43%
2.34
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Merelbeke ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merelbeke / FT Merelbeke✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.75
–
Form
Merelbeke – last 6
LWLWWL
27 Sep
vs AS Eupen
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Harelbeke
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Spouwen-Mopertingen
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Cercle Brugge II
3–1
W
28 Aug
@ Hoogstraten
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs K. Lierse S.K.
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dessel Sport – last 6
WLDWLL
19 Sep
vs Cercle Brugge II
3–1
W
11 Sep
@ Houtvenne
0–5
L
5 Sep
vs Hoogstraten
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Tienen
4–3
W
26 Apr
@ Sporting Hasselt
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Merelbeke and Dessel Sport.
What is the prediction for Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport?
On our numbers Merelbeke have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dessel Sport 36%.
How many goals will there be in Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport?
Our predicted score is Merelbeke 2–1 Dessel Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport?
Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Heist1
Roeselare Daisel0
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