First Amateur Division · Belgium · Edmond Machtens StadiumRWDM vs Rochefort prediction & analysis
RWDM to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: RWDM 1.8 – 0.9 Rochefort expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
RWDM are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 24% for Rochefort.
RWDM have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Rochefort have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.8 for RWDM, 0.9 for Rochefort). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
Our pick is RWDM to win at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | RWDM to win ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT RWDM / FT RWDM ✗ | 35% | 2.85 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.45 | – |
Form
RWDM – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Meux | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Sporting Charleroi II | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Onhaye | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Flénu | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | @ Habay-la-Neuve | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Jul | @ KRC Genk II | 2–6 | L |
Rochefort – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs K. Lierse S.K. | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Sporting Charleroi II | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Onhaye | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Tubize | 4–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Habay-la-Neuve | 4–2 | W |
| 26 Aug | @ Union Saint-Gilloise II | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RWDM and Rochefort.
First Amateur Division table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Meux | 12 | +9 | 25 |
| 2 |  Rochefort | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Union Saint-Gilloise II | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 |  Tubize | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Albert Quévy-Mons | 12 | +8 | 20 |
| 6 |  RWDM | 12 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 |  Olympic Charleroi | 12 | -8 | 16 |
| 8 |  Standard Liège II | 12 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Sporting Charleroi II | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Habay-la-Neuve | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Onhaye | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 12 |  Flénu | 12 | -22 | 2 |
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Knokke0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for RWDM vs Rochefort?
Our pick is RWDM to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win RWDM vs Rochefort?
On our numbers RWDM have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Rochefort 24%.
How many goals will there be in RWDM vs Rochefort?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is RWDM vs Rochefort?
RWDM vs Rochefort (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Edmond Machtens Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.