Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Merelbeke to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMerelbeke to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceMerelbeke or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Merelbeke vs Harelbeke preview and prediction
The match
Harelbeke travel to face Merelbeke in the First Amateur Division on Sunday 20 September (14:00 WAT).
Form guide
Merelbeke's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Spouwen-Mopertingen 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Harelbeke's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Tienen 0–4 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Merelbeke and 1.0 for Harelbeke. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Merelbeke to win at 1.67 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Merelbeke or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Merelbeke 2–0 Harelbeke. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Merelbeke66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.50
Harelbeke13%fair 7.87 · @4.00
3.33Expected goals
2.34Merelbeke xG
0.99Harelbeke xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Merelbeke 2.3 – 1.0 Harelbeke expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merelbeke to win✓
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Merelbeke or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Merelbeke ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merelbeke / FT Merelbeke✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.18
–
Form
Merelbeke – last 6
LWWLLL
13 Sep
@ Spouwen-Mopertingen
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Cercle Brugge II
3–1
W
28 Aug
@ Hoogstraten
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs K. Lierse S.K.
0–2
L
27 Jun
vs Gent
1–6
L
26 Apr
@ Ninove
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Harelbeke – last 5
LLLWW
13 Sep
vs Tienen
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Heist
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Mandel United
0–3
L
18 Jul
vs Kortrijk
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs VW Hamme
5–1
W
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Merelbeke and Harelbeke.
What is the prediction for Merelbeke vs Harelbeke?
Our pick is Merelbeke or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Harelbeke?
On our numbers Merelbeke have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Harelbeke 13%.
How many goals will there be in Merelbeke vs Harelbeke?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merelbeke vs Harelbeke?
Our predicted score is Merelbeke 2–0 Harelbeke, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Merelbeke vs Harelbeke?
Merelbeke vs Harelbeke (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Habay-la-Neuve2
Flénu1
Onhaye2
Albert Quévy-Mons5
Knokke3
Spouwen-Mopertingen2
Tienen1
Roeselare Daisel1
Zelzate0
Houtvenne3