Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Habay-la-Neuve to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHabay-la-Neuve to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceHabay-la-Neuve or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.18
Habay-la-Neuve vs Flénu preview and prediction
The match
The First Amateur Division sees Habay-la-Neuve take on Flénu on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Habay-la-Neuve are 10th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Flénu sit 12th on 2 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Habay-la-Neuve's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Standard Liège II 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Flénu's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Meux 1–4 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Flénu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Habay-la-Neuve and 1.0 for Flénu. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Habay-la-Neuve or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Habay-la-Neuve to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Habay-la-Neuve or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Habay-la-Neuve 2–1 Flénu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Habay-la-Neuve64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.25
Flénu15%fair 6.69 · @3.60
3.25Expected goals
2.24Habay-la-Neuve xG
1.01Flénu xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Habay-la-Neuve 2.2 – 1.0 Flénu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Habay-la-Neuve to win✓
64%
1.56
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Habay-la-Neuve or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Habay-la-Neuve ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Habay-la-Neuve / FT Habay-la-Neuve✓
42%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.18
–
Form
Habay-la-Neuve – last 6
DLLLLL
13 Sep
vs Standard Liège II
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Union Saint-Gilloise II
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Rochefort
2–4
L
26 Aug
vs RWDM
1–2
L
10 May
@ Excelsior Virton
0–2
L
3 May
vs Albert Quévy-Mons
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Flénu – last 6
LDLLLW
13 Sep
vs Meux
1–4
L
6 Sep
@ Sporting Charleroi II
2–2
D
2 Sep
vs Onhaye
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ RWDM
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Seraing United
0–3
L
10 May
vs Stade Verviers
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Habay-la-Neuve and Flénu.
What is the prediction for Habay-la-Neuve vs Flénu?
Our pick is Habay-la-Neuve or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Habay-la-Neuve vs Flénu?
On our numbers Habay-la-Neuve have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flénu 15%.
How many goals will there be in Habay-la-Neuve vs Flénu?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Habay-la-Neuve vs Flénu?
Our predicted score is Habay-la-Neuve 2–1 Flénu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Habay-la-Neuve vs Flénu?
Habay-la-Neuve vs Flénu (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.