Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Tienen to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTienen to win ✓40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.35
Harelbeke vs Tienen preview and prediction
The match
The First Amateur Division sees Harelbeke take on Tienen on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Forestierstadion.
Form guide
Harelbeke's last 4: LLWW Most recently they lost to Heist 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tienen's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.0 for Harelbeke and 2.0 for Tienen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Harelbeke 36%, draw 24%, Tienen 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Tienen to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Harelbeke 1–2 Tienen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Harelbeke36%fair 2.78 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.00
Tienen40%fair 2.53 · @2.80
4.00Expected goals
1.95Harelbeke xG
2.05Tienen xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–27%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Harelbeke 2.0 – 2.0 Tienen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tienen to win✓
40%
2.53
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.60 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Tienen ahead at half-time✓
34%
2.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tienen / FT Tienen✓
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.35
–
Form
Harelbeke – last 4
LLWW
5 Sep
@ Heist
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Mandel United
0–3
L
18 Jul
vs Kortrijk
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs VW Hamme
5–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Tienen – last 6
LLDLWW
6 Sep
@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Dessel Sport
3–4
L
26 Apr
vs Hoogstraten
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Knokke
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Spouwen-Mopertingen
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Diegem Sport
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harelbeke and Tienen.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Harelbeke vs Tienen?
On our numbers Harelbeke have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tienen 40%.
How many goals will there be in Harelbeke vs Tienen?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harelbeke vs Tienen?
Our predicted score is Harelbeke 1–2 Tienen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Harelbeke vs Tienen?
Harelbeke vs Tienen (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Forestierstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Flénu1
Meux4
Habay-la-Neuve0
Standard Liège II0
Spouwen-Mopertingen1
Merelbeke0
Cercle Brugge II2
Knokke1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II4
Zelzate3
Roeselare Daisel1
Mandel United0