Value bet: Draw @ 4.00 – our chance 53% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +113%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗53% · @4.00
Double chanceHabay-la-Neuve or draw ✗77% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11% · fair 9.39
Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM preview and prediction
The match
RWDM travel to face Habay-la-Neuve in the First Amateur Division on Wednesday 26 August (17:00 WAT). Habay-la-Neuve are 10th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while RWDM sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Habay-la-Neuve's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Excelsior Virton 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
RWDM's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to KRC Genk II 2–6 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.6 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Habay-la-Neuve arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Habay-la-Neuve and 1.6 for RWDM. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Safer route: Habay-la-Neuve or draw (77%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Draw at 4.00 – 53% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Habay-la-Neuve or draw – a 77% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Habay-la-Neuve 1–1 RWDM. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Habay-la-Neuve24%fair 4.15 · @2.25
Draw53%fair 1.88 · @4.00
RWDM23%fair 4.43 · @2.40
3.15Expected goals
1.59Habay-la-Neuve xG
1.55RWDM xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Habay-la-Neuve 1.6 – 1.6 RWDM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
53%
1.88
4.00 ▲
Double chance
Habay-la-Neuve or draw✗
77%
1.29
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Habay-la-Neuve / FT Habay-la-Neuve✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
11%
9.39
–
Form
Habay-la-Neuve – last 6
LLWWWD
10 May
@ Excelsior Virton
0–2
L
3 May
vs Albert Quévy-Mons
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Tubize
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Rochefort
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Excelsior Virton
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Crossing Schaerbeek
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
RWDM – last 5
LLLDD
15 Jul
@ KRC Genk II
2–6
L
17 Apr
@ Kortrijk
1–3
L
11 Mar
@ SK Beveren
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs AS Eupen
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Beerschot VA
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Habay-la-Neuve and RWDM.
What is the prediction for Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM?
Our pick is Habay-la-Neuve or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM?
On our numbers Habay-la-Neuve have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 53% and RWDM 23%.
How many goals will there be in Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM?
Our predicted score is Habay-la-Neuve 1–1 RWDM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM?
Habay-la-Neuve vs RWDM (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
