Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Rochefort or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Rochefort to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRochefort to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceRochefort or draw ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort preview and prediction
The match
Rochefort travel to face Union Saint-Gilloise II in the First Amateur Division on Wednesday 26 August (19:00 WAT). Union Saint-Gilloise II are 3rd with 21 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Rochefort sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Union Saint-Gilloise II's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Stockay-Warfusée 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Rochefort's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Excelsior Virton 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Union Saint-Gilloise II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Union Saint-Gilloise II and 2.0 for Rochefort. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Saint-Gilloise II 21%, draw 22%, Rochefort 57%.
Safer route: Rochefort or draw (79%) at 1.30.
Value angle: Rochefort to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rochefort or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–1 Rochefort. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Saint-Gilloise II21%fair 4.72 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.60
Rochefort57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
3.10Expected goals
1.13Union Saint-Gilloise II xG
1.98Rochefort xG
52%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1.1 – 2.0 Rochefort expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rochefort to win✓
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Rochefort or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Rochefort ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rochefort / FT Rochefort✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.12
–
Form
Union Saint-Gilloise II – last 6
WWWWDL
10 May
vs Stockay-Warfusée
2–1
W
3 May
@ Crossing Schaerbeek
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Union Namur
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Stockay-Warfusée
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Sporting Charleroi II
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Standard Liège II
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rochefort – last 6
DWDLLL
1 Aug
vs Excelsior Virton
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ RAAL La Louvière
3–0
W
27 Jun
vs Patro Eisden
3–3
D
10 May
@ Tubize
2–3
L
3 May
vs Excelsior Virton
3–5
L
15 Mar
@ Habay-la-Neuve
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Saint-Gilloise II and Rochefort.
What is the prediction for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort?
Our pick is Rochefort or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort?
On our numbers Union Saint-Gilloise II have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rochefort 57%.
How many goals will there be in Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort?
Our predicted score is Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–1 Rochefort, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort?
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Rochefort (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
