Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: ASA Aarhus to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultASA Aarhus to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
ASA Aarhus vs Sundby preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Division sees ASA Aarhus take on Sundby on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). ASA Aarhus are 10th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Sundby sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
ASA Aarhus's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to FC Helsingor 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sundby's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Ishøj 2–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Sundby 1–0 ASA Aarhus.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.8 for ASA Aarhus and 1.2 for Sundby. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: ASA Aarhus to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: ASA Aarhus 1–1 Sundby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ASA Aarhus55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.30
Sundby26%fair 3.84 · @3.20
3.00Expected goals
1.84ASA Aarhus xG
1.16Sundby xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: ASA Aarhus 1.8 – 1.2 Sundby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win ASA Aarhus vs Sundby?
On our numbers ASA Aarhus have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sundby 26%.
How many goals will there be in ASA Aarhus vs Sundby?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA Aarhus vs Sundby?
Our predicted score is ASA Aarhus 1–1 Sundby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is ASA Aarhus vs Sundby?
ASA Aarhus vs Sundby (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
