Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Vanløse to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNæsby to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Næsby vs Vanløse preview and prediction
The match
Næsby host Vanløse in the 3. Division on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at ALPI Arena Naesby. Næsby are 6th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Vanløse sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Næsby's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Frem 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Vanløse's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Holbæk B&I 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vanløse arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Vanløse 3–0 Næsby. Across their last 3 meetings Næsby have won 1, Vanløse 2, with 0 draws and 2.3 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Næsby and 1.3 for Vanløse. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Næsby 43%, draw 22%, Vanløse 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Vanløse to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Næsby 1–1 Vanløse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Næsby43%fair 2.31 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.10
Vanløse35%fair 2.87 · @3.10
2.77Expected goals
1.48Næsby xG
1.29Vanløse xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Næsby 1.5 – 1.3 Vanløse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Næsby vs Vanløse?
On our numbers Næsby have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vanløse 35%.
How many goals will there be in Næsby vs Vanløse?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Næsby vs Vanløse?
Our predicted score is Næsby 1–1 Vanløse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Næsby vs Vanløse?
Næsby vs Vanløse (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
