Veles host Spartak Kostroma in the First League on Friday 30 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Spartakovets Stadium. Veles are 5th with 31 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Spartak Kostroma sit 6th on 28 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Veles's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Volga Ulyanovsk 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Spartak Kostroma's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spartak Kostroma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Veles and 1.3 for Spartak Kostroma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Veles 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Veles35%fair 2.83 · @2.88
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.06
Spartak Kostroma40%fair 2.50 · @2.43
2.44Expected goals
1.17Veles xG
1.27Spartak Kostroma xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Veles 1.2 – 1.3 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Kostroma to win✗
40%
2.50
2.43
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.07
–
Form
Veles – last 6
LDWLDL
25 Oct
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Ural
2–1
W
4 Oct
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–2
L
17 Sep
@ Torpedo Moskva
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs FC Sochi
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Spartak Kostroma – last 6
LWWLLW
26 Oct
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Leningradets
2–0
W
13 Oct
vs Chelyabinsk
1–0
W
9 Oct
@ Arsenal Tula
2–3
L
26 Sep
vs Ural
1–2
L
18 Sep
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Veles and Spartak Kostroma.
What is the prediction for Veles vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Veles vs Spartak Kostroma?
On our numbers Veles have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Spartak Kostroma 40%.
How many goals will there be in Veles vs Spartak Kostroma?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Veles vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our predicted score is Veles 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Veles vs Spartak Kostroma?
Veles vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartakovets Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
