Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓68% · @1.60
Double chanceNizhny Novgorod or draw ✓89% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.04
FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees FC UFA take on Nizhny Novgorod on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at BetBoom Arena. FC UFA are 8th with 22 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st on 46 points (top of the table). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC UFA's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Arsenal Tula 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nizhny Novgorod's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Ural 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nizhny Novgorod arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for FC UFA and 2.2 for Nizhny Novgorod. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC UFA 11%, draw 22%, Nizhny Novgorod 68%.
Safer route: Nizhny Novgorod or draw (89%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.81.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nizhny Novgorod to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC UFA 0–2 Nizhny Novgorod. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC UFA11%fair 9.33 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.84
Nizhny Novgorod68%fair 1.48 · @1.60
2.93Expected goals
0.77FC UFA xG
2.15Nizhny Novgorod xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: FC UFA 0.8 – 2.2 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✓
68%
1.48
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Nizhny Novgorod or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.81
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.89
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.27
Half-time result
Nizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✗
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.04
–
Form
FC UFA – last 6
WLDLDL
17 Oct
vs Arsenal Tula
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ FC Sochi
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–0
D
18 Sep
@ Chelyabinsk
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ Kaluga
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WWWWWW
18 Oct
@ Ural
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
4–0
W
10 Oct
vs Enisey
5–0
W
17 Sep
vs Leningradets
6–0
W
13 Sep
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–1
W
9 Sep
@ Dinamo Stavropol
2–1
W
3.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC UFA and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Nizhny Novgorod to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers FC UFA have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nizhny Novgorod 68%.
How many goals will there be in FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is FC UFA 0–2 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod?
FC UFA vs Nizhny Novgorod (First League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at BetBoom Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
