First League · Russia · Stadion TekstilshchikTekstilshchik vs FC Sochi prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tekstilshchik 0.8 – 1.7 FC Sochi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FC Sochi shade it despite being away from home – 59% to win, against 20% for Tekstilshchik.
Tekstilshchik have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. FC Sochi have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.8 for Tekstilshchik, 1.7 for FC Sochi). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.24 is close to our fair price of 1.35.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FC Sochi to win ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | FC Sochi or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.88 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.27 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.24 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi ✗ | 36% | 2.81 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.32 | – |
Form
Tekstilshchik – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Chelyabinsk | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | @ Chertanovo Moscow | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | vs Rotor Volgograd | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Leningradets | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | vs Arsenal Tula | 1–0 | W |
FC Sochi – last 6
| 16 Oct | @ Rotor Volgograd | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs FC UFA | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs Ska-khabarovsk | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | @ Veles | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Sep | @ Dinamo St. Petersburg | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Nizhny Novgorod | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tekstilshchik and FC Sochi.
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 17 | +16 | 32 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tekstilshchik vs FC Sochi?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Tekstilshchik vs FC Sochi?
On our numbers Tekstilshchik have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Sochi 59%.
How many goals will there be in Tekstilshchik vs FC Sochi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Tekstilshchik vs FC Sochi?
Tekstilshchik vs FC Sochi (First League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Tekstilshchik.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.