Value bet: Spartak Kostroma to win @ 2.88 – our chance 43% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✗43% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.71
Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma preview and prediction
The match
Spartak Kostroma travel to Arsenal Stadium (Tula) in the First League on Friday 9 October (17:30 WAT) to face Arsenal Tula. Arsenal Tula are 12th with 19 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Spartak Kostroma sit 6th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Arsenal Tula's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to CSKA Moscow 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Spartak Kostroma's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Ural 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spartak Kostroma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Arsenal Tula 1–1 Spartak Kostroma.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Arsenal Tula and 1.3 for Spartak Kostroma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal Tula 34%, draw 23%, Spartak Kostroma 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.87.
Value angle: Spartak Kostroma to win at 2.88 – 43% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.34. Predicted score: Arsenal Tula 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal Tula34%fair 2.91 · @2.42
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.08
Spartak Kostroma43%fair 2.32 · @2.88
2.43Expected goals
1.12Arsenal Tula xG
1.31Spartak Kostroma xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.1 – 1.3 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spartak Kostroma 43%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma?
Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Arsenal Stadium (Tula).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
