Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.08 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗41% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod preview and prediction
The match
Nizhny Novgorod travel to Arena Khimki in the First League on Sunday 13 September (14:30 WAT) to face Torpedo Moskva. Torpedo Moskva are 3rd with 32 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st on 46 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Torpedo Moskva's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Shinnik Yaroslavl 0–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nizhny Novgorod's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Dinamo Stavropol 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Torpedo Moskva and 1.4 for Nizhny Novgorod. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Torpedo Moskva 41%, draw 24%, Nizhny Novgorod 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.81.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.08 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torpedo Moskva41%fair 2.45 · @2.33
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.24
Nizhny Novgorod35%fair 2.84 · @2.93
2.98Expected goals
1.55Torpedo Moskva xG
1.42Nizhny Novgorod xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.6 – 1.4 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win✗
41%
2.45
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.81
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.08 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.44
–
Form
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
LWWWWL
10 Sep
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Tekstilshchik
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–0
W
21 Aug
vs Spartak Kostroma
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ Chelyabinsk
4–0
W
8 Aug
vs FC Sochi
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WWDWLW
9 Sep
@ Dinamo Stavropol
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ FC Sochi
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
24 Aug
vs Ska-khabarovsk
4–2
W
19 Aug
@ Veles
2–3
L
15 Aug
@ Tekstilshchik
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torpedo Moskva and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nizhny Novgorod 35%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Torpedo Moskva vs Nizhny Novgorod (First League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
