First League · Russia · Roshchino ArenaLeningradets vs Tekstilshchik prediction & analysis
Leningradets or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
Value bet: Leningradets to win @ 1.92 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Leningradets 1.5 – 0.7 Tekstilshchik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Leningradets hold the edge on home soil with a 56% chance of winning, against 17% for Tekstilshchik.
Leningradets have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Tekstilshchik have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.5 for Leningradets, 0.7 for Tekstilshchik). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (12%).
In their last 2 meetings, Leningradets have won 2, Tekstilshchik have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Leningradets or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is close to our fair price of 1.21. For a bigger price, Leningradets to win at 1.92 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Leningradets to win ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.92 ▲ |
| Double chance | Leningradets or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.94 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.50 | 1.35 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.19 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Leningradets / FT Leningradets ✗ | 34% | 2.92 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.25 | – |
Form
Leningradets – last 6
| 9 Sep | @ FK Sokol Saratov | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Ska-khabarovsk | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs KAMAZ | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Chelyabinsk | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Arsenal Tula | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ Veles | 1–2 | L |
Tekstilshchik – last 6
| 8 Sep | vs Arsenal Tula | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Torpedo Moskva | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Veles | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Ural | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | @ KAMAZ | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Nizhny Novgorod | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
| 31 May 2026 | Tekstilshchik v Leningradets | 0–2 |
| 12 Apr 2026 | Leningradets v Tekstilshchik | 3–2 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 17 | +16 | 32 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Leningradets vs Tekstilshchik?
Our pick is Leningradets or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Leningradets vs Tekstilshchik?
On our numbers Leningradets have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tekstilshchik 17%.
How many goals will there be in Leningradets vs Tekstilshchik?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Leningradets vs Tekstilshchik?
Leningradets vs Tekstilshchik (First League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Roshchino Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.