Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.88 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✗64% · @1.45
Double chanceNizhny Novgorod or draw ✓84% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk preview and prediction
The match
Nizhny Novgorod host Volga Ulyanovsk in the First League on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Sovcombank Arena. Nizhny Novgorod are 1st with 46 points from 17 games (top of the table), while Volga Ulyanovsk sit 9th on 22 points (in the top half). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nizhny Novgorod's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Ska-khabarovsk 4–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Volga Ulyanovsk's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Nizhny Novgorod arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Nizhny Novgorod and 1.0 for Volga Ulyanovsk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nizhny Novgorod 64%, draw 20%, Volga Ulyanovsk 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.88.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.88 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nizhny Novgorod 2–1 Volga Ulyanovsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nizhny Novgorod64%fair 1.56 · @1.45
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.30
Volga Ulyanovsk16%fair 6.22 · @6.35
3.22Expected goals
2.20Nizhny Novgorod xG
1.02Volga Ulyanovsk xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 2.2 – 1.0 Volga Ulyanovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✗
64%
1.56
1.45
Double chance
Nizhny Novgorod or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.88 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.32
Half-time result
Nizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WLWWWW
24 Aug
vs Ska-khabarovsk
4–2
W
19 Aug
@ Veles
2–3
L
15 Aug
@ Tekstilshchik
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs FK Neftekhimik
5–1
W
2 Aug
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ Chelyabinsk
2–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
LLWLWL
22 Aug
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ FC Sochi
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ KAMAZ
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs Chelyabinsk
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs FK Neftekhimik
2–0
W
19 Jul
@ Torpedo Moskva
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nizhny Novgorod and Volga Ulyanovsk.
What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Volga Ulyanovsk 16%.
How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our predicted score is Nizhny Novgorod 2–1 Volga Ulyanovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Sovcombank Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
