First League · Russia · Fisht Olympic StadiumFC Sochi vs Chelyabinsk prediction & analysis
FC Sochi to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC Sochi 2.1 – 0.7 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FC Sochi are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 10% for Chelyabinsk.
FC Sochi have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Chelyabinsk have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.0 conceded. FC Sochi come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.1 for FC Sochi, 0.7 for Chelyabinsk). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 3–0 (9%).
Our pick is FC Sochi to win at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is better than our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FC Sochi to win ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.55 ▲ |
| Double chance | FC Sochi or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.97 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.26 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | FC Sochi ahead at half-time ✗ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.59 | – |
Form
FC Sochi – last 6
| 24 Aug | @ KAMAZ | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Aug | @ FK Neftekhimik | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Volga Ulyanovsk | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Torpedo Moskva | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Leningradets | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | vs Arsenal Tula | 5–0 | W |
Chelyabinsk – last 6
| 23 Aug | @ Leningradets | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Torpedo Moskva | 0–4 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Rotor Volgograd | 1–4 | L |
| 2 Aug | @ Volga Ulyanovsk | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Nizhny Novgorod | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Jul | @ Veles | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Sochi and Chelyabinsk.
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 17 | +16 | 32 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Sochi vs Chelyabinsk?
Our pick is FC Sochi to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Chelyabinsk?
On our numbers FC Sochi have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chelyabinsk 10%.
How many goals will there be in FC Sochi vs Chelyabinsk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is FC Sochi vs Chelyabinsk?
FC Sochi vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fisht Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.