Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
2
Value bet: Ural to win @ 2.19 – our chance 50% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUral to win ✗50% · @2.19
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.22
Arsenal Tula vs Ural preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Arsenal Tula take on Ural on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadion Arsenal. Arsenal Tula are 12th with 19 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Ural sit 2nd on 34 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arsenal Tula's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Veles 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ural's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Tekstilshchik 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ural arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Ural 2–0 Arsenal Tula.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for Arsenal Tula and 1.4 for Ural. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal Tula 27%, draw 23%, Ural 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.86.
Value angle: Ural to win at 2.19 – 50% on our numbers against 46% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Arsenal Tula 1–1 Ural. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal Tula27%fair 3.66 · @3.34
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.10
Ural50%fair 1.99 · @2.19
2.30Expected goals
0.92Arsenal Tula xG
1.39Ural xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 0.9 – 1.4 Ural expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Ural?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ural 50%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs Ural?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs Ural?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 Ural, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs Ural?
Arsenal Tula vs Ural (First League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
