First League · Russia · Stadion TekstilshchikTekstilshchik vs Veles prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Veles to win @ 2.35 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tekstilshchik 1.0 – 1.3 Veles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Veles shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 30% for Tekstilshchik.
Tekstilshchik have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Veles have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. Veles come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.0 for Tekstilshchik, 1.3 for Veles). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Tekstilshchik have won 1, Veles have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.49. For a bigger price, Veles to win at 2.35 is our value angle (47% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Veles to win ✓ | 47% | 2.15 | 2.35 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.88 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.18 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Veles / FT Veles ✗ | 26% | 3.85 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 13% | 7.72 | – |
Form
Tekstilshchik – last 6
| 22 Aug | @ Ural | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | @ KAMAZ | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Nizhny Novgorod | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Enisey | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Aug | @ FK Neftekhimik | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jul | vs Spartak Kostroma | 0–0 | D |
Veles – last 6
| 24 Aug | vs Arsenal Tula | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | vs Nizhny Novgorod | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Ska-khabarovsk | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Aug | vs Leningradets | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Aug | vs Rotor Volgograd | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Jul | @ Enisey | 1–4 | L |
Head to head
| 23 May 2026 | Veles v Tekstilshchik | 1–2 |
| 4 Apr 2026 | Tekstilshchik v Veles | 0–1 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 17 | +16 | 32 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tekstilshchik vs Veles?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Tekstilshchik vs Veles?
On our numbers Tekstilshchik have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Veles 47%.
How many goals will there be in Tekstilshchik vs Veles?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Tekstilshchik vs Veles?
Tekstilshchik vs Veles (First League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Tekstilshchik.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.