Value bet: Volga Ulyanovsk to win @ 1.71 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVolga Ulyanovsk to win ✗63% · @1.71
Double chanceVolga Ulyanovsk or draw ✗87% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Leningradets preview and prediction
The match
Leningradets travel to Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk) in the First League on Saturday 26 September (14:00 WAT) to face Volga Ulyanovsk. Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th with 22 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Leningradets sit 13th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Volga Ulyanovsk's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Spartak Kostroma 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Leningradets's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Nizhny Novgorod 0–6 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Volga Ulyanovsk and 0.8 for Leningradets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Volga Ulyanovsk 63%, draw 24%, Leningradets 13%.
Safer route: Volga Ulyanovsk or draw (87%) at 1.16.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Volga Ulyanovsk to win at 1.71 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Volga Ulyanovsk 2–0 Leningradets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Volga Ulyanovsk63%fair 1.60 · @1.71
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.55
Leningradets13%fair 7.54 · @4.55
2.68Expected goals
1.90Volga Ulyanovsk xG
0.78Leningradets xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.9 – 0.8 Leningradets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volga Ulyanovsk to win✗
63%
1.60
1.71 ▲
Double chance
Volga Ulyanovsk or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.82
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.27
Half-time result
Volga Ulyanovsk ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volga Ulyanovsk / FT Volga Ulyanovsk✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Form
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
LDDWDL
18 Sep
vs Spartak Kostroma
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ FC UFA
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ Volgar Astrakhan
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Arsenal Tula
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ Nizhny Novgorod
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leningradets – last 6
LDDWLD
17 Sep
@ Nizhny Novgorod
0–6
L
13 Sep
vs Tekstilshchik
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–2
W
29 Aug
vs KAMAZ
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Chelyabinsk
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volga Ulyanovsk and Leningradets.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Leningradets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Leningradets?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leningradets 13%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Leningradets?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Leningradets?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 2–0 Leningradets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Leningradets?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Leningradets (First League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
