Value bet: Ural to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUral to win ✗45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Rotor Volgograd vs Ural preview and prediction
The match
Rotor Volgograd host Ural in the First League on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Volgograd Arena. Rotor Volgograd are 10th with 21 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Ural sit 2nd on 34 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rotor Volgograd's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Chelyabinsk 4–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ural's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat FC UFA 3–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 March 2026, finished Rotor Volgograd 1–1 Ural.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Rotor Volgograd and 1.4 for Ural. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Ural to win at 2.38 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.39. Predicted score: Rotor Volgograd 1–1 Ural. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rotor Volgograd31%fair 3.22 · @3.14
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.95
Ural45%fair 2.21 · @2.38
2.50Expected goals
1.10Rotor Volgograd xG
1.40Ural xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Rotor Volgograd 1.1 – 1.4 Ural expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rotor Volgograd vs Ural?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs Ural?
On our numbers Rotor Volgograd have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ural 45%.
How many goals will there be in Rotor Volgograd vs Ural?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotor Volgograd vs Ural?
Our predicted score is Rotor Volgograd 1–1 Ural, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rotor Volgograd vs Ural?
Rotor Volgograd vs Ural (First League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Volgograd Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
