FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: FK Neftekhimik to win @ 2.58 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Neftekhimik to win ✗43% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.37
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.01
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85
FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl preview and prediction
The match
Shinnik Yaroslavl travel to Neftekhimik Stadium in the First League on Friday 14 August (16:00 WAT) to face FK Neftekhimik. FK Neftekhimik are 17th with 13 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 7th on 26 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FK Neftekhimik's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Nizhny Novgorod 1–5 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Arsenal Tula 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for FK Neftekhimik and 1.1 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Neftekhimik 43%, draw 24%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.01.
Value angle: FK Neftekhimik to win at 2.58 – 43% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Neftekhimik43%fair 2.34 · @2.58
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.88
Shinnik Yaroslavl33%fair 3.01 · @2.91
2.40Expected goals
1.30FK Neftekhimik xG
1.10Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 1.3 – 1.1 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Neftekhimik to win✗
43%
2.34
2.58 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.37
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.01 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.51
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.13
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Neftekhimik / FT FK Neftekhimik✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.85
–
Form
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
LWLWLW
8 Aug
@ Nizhny Novgorod
1–5
L
1 Aug
vs Tekstilshchik
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
0–2
L
19 Jul
@ Arsenal Tula
1–0
W
11 Jul
vs Veles
0–1
L
1 Jul
@ KAMAZ
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
DLDWDD
8 Aug
vs Arsenal Tula
2–2
D
2 Aug
@ Nizhny Novgorod
0–3
L
26 Jul
@ Torpedo Moskva
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Leningradets
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs FC Sochi
2–2
D
30 Jun
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Neftekhimik and Shinnik Yaroslavl.
What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 33%.
How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
FK Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
