Value bet: Chelyabinsk to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓45% · @2.21
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva preview and prediction
The match
Torpedo Moskva travel to Central Stadium in the First League on Saturday 15 August (11:30 WAT) to face Chelyabinsk. Chelyabinsk are 11th with 21 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Torpedo Moskva sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Chelyabinsk's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Rotor Volgograd 1–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Torpedo Moskva's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to FC Sochi 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Torpedo Moskva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 March 2026, finished Chelyabinsk 0–1 Torpedo Moskva.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Chelyabinsk and 1.4 for Torpedo Moskva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelyabinsk 32%, draw 23%, Torpedo Moskva 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.86.
Value angle: Chelyabinsk to win at 3.30 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Chelyabinsk 1–1 Torpedo Moskva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelyabinsk32%fair 3.09 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.10
Torpedo Moskva45%fair 2.22 · @2.21
2.50Expected goals
1.11Chelyabinsk xG
1.38Torpedo Moskva xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Chelyabinsk 1.1 – 1.4 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
On our numbers Chelyabinsk have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Torpedo Moskva 45%.
How many goals will there be in Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our predicted score is Chelyabinsk 1–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
