Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.08 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓61% · @1.69
Double chanceNizhny Novgorod or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.08
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.88
Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl preview and prediction
The match
Shinnik Yaroslavl travel to Sovcombank Arena in the First League on Sunday 2 August (15:00 WAT) to face Nizhny Novgorod. Nizhny Novgorod are 1st with 46 points from 17 games (top of the table), while Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 7th on 26 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nizhny Novgorod's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Chelyabinsk 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Torpedo Moskva 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Nizhny Novgorod and 0.9 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Nizhny Novgorod or draw (84%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.08.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.08 – 55% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Nizhny Novgorod 2–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nizhny Novgorod61%fair 1.64 · @1.69
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl16%fair 6.33 · @4.95
2.85Expected goals
1.95Nizhny Novgorod xG
0.90Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 2.0 – 0.9 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✓
61%
1.64
1.69
Double chance
Nizhny Novgorod or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.08 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.18
Half-time result
Nizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.88
–
Form
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WWWLDL
25 Jul
@ Chelyabinsk
2–1
W
19 Jul
@ KAMAZ
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Rotor Volgograd
4–2
W
4 Jul
@ Dynamo
1–2
L
17 May
@ Rubin
2–2
D
11 May
vs CSKA Moscow
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
DWDDDW
26 Jul
@ Torpedo Moskva
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Leningradets
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs FC Sochi
2–2
D
30 Jun
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
11 May
vs Torpedo Moskva
1–1
D
4 May
@ Ural
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nizhny Novgorod and Shinnik Yaroslavl.
What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 16%.
How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is Nizhny Novgorod 2–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sovcombank Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
