Value bet: Torpedo Moskva to win @ 2.43 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗46% · @2.43
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.70
Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Arsenal Tula take on Torpedo Moskva on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stadion Arsenal. Arsenal Tula are 12th with 19 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Torpedo Moskva sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arsenal Tula's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to FC Sochi 0–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Torpedo Moskva's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Torpedo Moskva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Arsenal Tula and 1.4 for Torpedo Moskva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal Tula 30%, draw 23%, Torpedo Moskva 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.88.
Value angle: Torpedo Moskva to win at 2.43 – 46% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Arsenal Tula 1–1 Torpedo Moskva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal Tula30%fair 3.29 · @2.98
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.02
Torpedo Moskva46%fair 2.17 · @2.43
2.52Expected goals
1.09Arsenal Tula xG
1.42Torpedo Moskva xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.1 – 1.4 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win✗
46%
2.17
2.43 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.88
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.70
–
Form
Arsenal Tula – last 6
LLWDDD
26 Jul
@ FC Sochi
0–5
L
19 Jul
vs FK Neftekhimik
0–1
L
13 Jul
vs Tekstilshchik
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ FC Sochi
3–3
D
21 Jun
vs Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
DWWWWW
26 Jul
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
3–1
W
13 Jul
@ Ural
1–0
W
3 Jul
@ FC Sochi
3–0
W
27 Jun
@ Dynamo
2–0
W
22 Jun
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tula and Torpedo Moskva.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Torpedo Moskva 46%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva?
Arsenal Tula vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
