Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl preview and prediction
The match
Torpedo Moskva host Shinnik Yaroslavl in the First League on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Arena Khimki. Torpedo Moskva are 3rd with 32 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 7th on 26 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Torpedo Moskva's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Volga Ulyanovsk 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Leningradets 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Torpedo Moskva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 Torpedo Moskva.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Torpedo Moskva and 0.8 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Torpedo Moskva 60%, draw 26%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 14%.
Safer route: Torpedo Moskva or draw (86%) at 1.16.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.98.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Torpedo Moskva 2–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torpedo Moskva60%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.45
Shinnik Yaroslavl14%fair 7.22 · @4.60
2.59Expected goals
1.81Torpedo Moskva xG
0.77Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.8 – 0.8 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 14%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 2–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
