Value bet: Arsenal Tula to win @ 3.64 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Sochi to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.79
FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees FC Sochi take on Arsenal Tula on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Fisht Olympic Stadium. FC Sochi are 4th with 32 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Arsenal Tula sit 12th on 19 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Sochi's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Spartak Kostroma 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Arsenal Tula's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to FK Neftekhimik 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 June 2026, finished FC Sochi 3–3 Arsenal Tula.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for FC Sochi and 1.1 for Arsenal Tula. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Sochi 46%, draw 22%, Arsenal Tula 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.81.
Value angle: Arsenal Tula to win at 3.64 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: FC Sochi 1–1 Arsenal Tula. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Sochi46%fair 2.17 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.28
Arsenal Tula32%fair 3.13 · @3.64
2.52Expected goals
1.41FC Sochi xG
1.11Arsenal Tula xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: FC Sochi 1.4 – 1.1 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?
On our numbers FC Sochi have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arsenal Tula 32%.
How many goals will there be in FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?
Our predicted score is FC Sochi 1–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?
FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula (First League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fisht Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
