Switzerland vs Colombia prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Switzerland to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Switzerland 1.0 – 1.2 Colombia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Colombia shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 34% for Switzerland.
Switzerland have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Colombia have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.0 for Switzerland, 1.2 for Colombia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.25. For a bigger price, Switzerland to win at 3.25 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Colombia to win ✗ | 43% | 2.34 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Colombia / FT Colombia ✗ | 23% | 4.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.90 | – |
Form
Switzerland – last 6
| 3 Jul | vs Algeria | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | vs Canada | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Jun | vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Jun | @ Qatar | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Jun | vs Australia | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | vs Jordan | 4–1 | W |
Colombia – last 6
| 4 Jul | vs Ghana | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | vs Portugal | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Jun | vs Congo DR | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Jun | @ Uzbekistan | 3–1 | W |
| 8 Jun | vs Jordan | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | vs France | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Switzerland and Colombia.
More World Cup predictions
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Switzerland vs Colombia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Switzerland vs Colombia?
On our numbers Switzerland have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colombia 43%.
How many goals will there be in Switzerland vs Colombia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Switzerland vs Colombia?
Switzerland vs Colombia (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 7 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at BC Place.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.