Argentina vs Egypt prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Argentina 2.2 – 0.6 Egypt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Argentina are clear favourites at home with a 72% chance of winning, against 8% for Egypt.
Argentina have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.3 per game. Egypt have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. Argentina come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.2 for Argentina, 0.6 for Egypt). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (14%), 1–0 (13%), 3–0 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.36.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Argentina to win ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | 1.38 |
| Double chance | Argentina or draw ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Argentina ahead at half-time ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Argentina / FT Argentina ✗ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 14% | 6.97 | – |
Form
Argentina – last 6
| 3 Jul | vs Cape Verde Islands | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jun | @ Jordan | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Jun | vs Austria | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Jun | vs Algeria | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | vs Iceland | 3–0 | W |
| 7 Jun | vs Honduras | 2–0 | W |
Egypt – last 6
| 3 Jul | @ Australia | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Jun | vs Iran | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Jun | @ New Zealand | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Jun | @ Belgium | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Jun | @ Brazil | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | vs Russia | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentina and Egypt.
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What is the prediction for Argentina vs Egypt?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Argentina vs Egypt?
On our numbers Argentina have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Egypt 8%.
How many goals will there be in Argentina vs Egypt?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Argentina vs Egypt?
Argentina vs Egypt (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 7 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.