Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓38% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓7% · fair 14.00
Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Apertura sees Defensor Sporting take on Liverpool Montevideo on Tuesday 21 July, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Luis Franzini. Defensor Sporting are 13th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Liverpool Montevideo sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Defensor Sporting's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Cerro Largo 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Cerro 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Liverpool Montevideo 1–2 Defensor Sporting.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Defensor Sporting and 1.1 for Liverpool Montevideo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensor Sporting 38%, draw 24%, Liverpool Montevideo 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Defensor Sporting 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensor Sporting38%fair 2.65 · @2.52
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
Liverpool Montevideo38%fair 2.64 · @2.72
2.11Expected goals
1.05Defensor Sporting xG
1.06Liverpool Montevideo xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Defensor Sporting 1.1 – 1.1 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo?
On our numbers Defensor Sporting have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Liverpool Montevideo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Defensor Sporting 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
