Value bet: Atletico Torque to win @ 1.71 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Torque to win ✓64% · @1.71
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.75
Atletico Torque vs Danubio preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Apertura sees Atletico Torque take on Danubio on Friday 24 July, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Centenario. Atletico Torque are 2nd with 28 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Danubio sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Torque's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Juventud 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Danubio's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Club Nacional 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Torque arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Atletico Torque and 0.7 for Danubio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Atletico Torque to win at 1.71 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Atletico Torque 1–0 Danubio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Torque64%fair 1.55 · @1.71
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.40
Danubio11%fair 9.04 · @4.75
2.53Expected goals
1.86Atletico Torque xG
0.67Danubio xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.9 – 0.7 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Torque to win✓
64%
1.55
1.71 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Torque or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Atletico Torque ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.75
–
Form
Atletico Torque – last 6
WLWDWW
11 Jul
@ Juventud
3–1
W
6 Jun
vs Deportivo Maldonado
2–4
L
31 May
@ Albion FC
2–1
W
26 May
@ Gremio
2–2
D
23 May
@ Progreso
2–1
W
19 May
vs Deportivo Riestra
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Danubio – last 6
DDDLLD
11 Jul
vs Club Nacional
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Juventud
1–1
D
5 Jun
@ Wanderers
0–0
D
30 May
vs Progreso
1–2
L
18 May
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–3
L
26 Mar
vs Defensor Sporting
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Torque and Danubio.
What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Danubio 11%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–0 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Torque vs Danubio?
Atletico Torque vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
