Value bet: Benfica B to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBenfica B to win ✓46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.46
Benfica B vs Chaves preview and prediction
The match
Chaves travel to Benfica Campus in the Segunda Liga on Saturday 31 October (19:00 WAT) to face Benfica B. Benfica B are 3rd with 20 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Chaves sit 17th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Benfica B's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Feirense 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chaves's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Vizela 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Chaves arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Benfica B and 1.0 for Chaves. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Benfica B 46%, draw 22%, Chaves 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Benfica B to win at 2.30 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Benfica B 1–1 Chaves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Benfica B46%fair 2.16 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.10
Chaves32%fair 3.15 · @2.70
2.25Expected goals
1.27Benfica B xG
0.98Chaves xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Benfica B 1.3 – 1.0 Chaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica B to win✓
46%
2.16
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica B / FT Benfica B✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.46
–
Form
Benfica B – last 6
DWWLLD
24 Oct
@ Feirense
0–0
D
12 Oct
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–0
W
11 Sep
@ Academica
3–0
W
5 Sep
vs Torreense
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Amarante
0–1
L
21 Aug
vs Portimonense
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Chaves – last 6
WWDLWW
23 Oct
vs Vizela
2–1
W
16 Oct
vs Os Marialvas
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Farense
0–4
L
20 Sep
@ Guarda
3–2
W
13 Sep
vs Feirense
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benfica B and Chaves.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Benfica B vs Chaves?
On our numbers Benfica B have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chaves 32%.
How many goals will there be in Benfica B vs Chaves?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benfica B vs Chaves?
Our predicted score is Benfica B 1–1 Chaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Benfica B vs Chaves?
Benfica B vs Chaves (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Benfica Campus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
