Value bet: FC Porto B to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmarante to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.46
Amarante vs FC Porto B preview and prediction
The match
Amarante host FC Porto B in the Segunda Liga on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Amarante Stadium. Amarante are 14th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while FC Porto B sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Amarante's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Torreense 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
FC Porto B's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with União de Leiria 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
FC Porto B arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Amarante and 1.1 for FC Porto B. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Amarante 45%, draw 22%, FC Porto B 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: FC Porto B to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Amarante 1–1 FC Porto B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amarante45%fair 2.20 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.00
FC Porto B32%fair 3.10 · @3.40
2.44Expected goals
1.36Amarante xG
1.08FC Porto B xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Amarante 1.4 – 1.1 FC Porto B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amarante to win✓
45%
2.20
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amarante / FT Amarante✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.46
–
Form
Amarante – last 6
LLLWDL
26 Oct
@ Torreense
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Academica
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Portimonense
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Ponte da Barca
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs União de Leiria
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Leixoes
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Porto B – last 6
DWDLLW
25 Oct
vs União de Leiria
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Leixoes
2–1
W
14 Sep
vs Vizela
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Tondela
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Penafiel
0–3
L
24 Aug
@ Feirense
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amarante and FC Porto B.
What is the prediction for Amarante vs FC Porto B?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Amarante vs FC Porto B?
On our numbers Amarante have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Porto B 32%.
How many goals will there be in Amarante vs FC Porto B?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amarante vs FC Porto B?
Our predicted score is Amarante 1–1 FC Porto B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Amarante vs FC Porto B?
Amarante vs FC Porto B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Amarante Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
