Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeixoes to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.81
Academica vs Leixoes preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees Academica take on Leixoes on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estádio Cidade de Coimbra. Academica are 6th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Leixoes sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Academica's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Amarante 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Leixoes's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Vianense 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Academica and 1.4 for Leixoes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Academica 1–1 Leixoes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Academica34%fair 2.96 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Leixoes44%fair 2.28 · @2.30
2.64Expected goals
1.21Academica xG
1.43Leixoes xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Academica 1.2 – 1.4 Leixoes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leixoes to win✗
44%
2.28
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leixoes / FT Leixoes✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.81
–
Form
Academica – last 6
WWWLLL
17 Oct
vs Amarante
3–2
W
11 Oct
@ União de Leiria
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Real
4–1
W
11 Sep
vs Benfica B
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Penafiel
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Leixoes – last 6
LLWDWW
17 Oct
@ Vianense
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs FC Porto B
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Cinfães
4–0
W
11 Sep
@ Torreense
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Amarante
3–1
W
29 Aug
@ Portimonense
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Academica and Leixoes.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Academica vs Leixoes?
On our numbers Academica have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leixoes 44%.
How many goals will there be in Academica vs Leixoes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Academica vs Leixoes?
Our predicted score is Academica 1–1 Leixoes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Academica vs Leixoes?
Academica vs Leixoes (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cidade de Coimbra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
