Torreense travel to Estádio João Cardoso in the Segunda Liga on Saturday 10 October (11:00 WAT) to face Tondela. Tondela are 7th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Torreense sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tondela's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Imortal Albufeira 5–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Torreense's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Lillestrom 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Tondela and 1.1 for Torreense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Tondela 1–1 Torreense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tondela43%fair 2.34 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Torreense34%fair 2.97 · @3.00
2.42Expected goals
1.30Tondela xG
1.12Torreense xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Tondela 1.3 – 1.1 Torreense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tondela to win✓
43%
2.34
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tondela / FT Tondela✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.63
–
Form
Tondela – last 6
WWWLLL
19 Sep
@ Imortal Albufeira
5–1
W
12 Sep
@ Portimonense
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs FC Porto B
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ União de Leiria
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Academica
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Leixoes
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Torreense – last 6
WDWLDD
17 Sep
@ Lillestrom
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Leixoes
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Benfica B
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Vizela
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Penafiel
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tondela and Torreense.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Tondela vs Torreense?
On our numbers Tondela have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Torreense 34%.
How many goals will there be in Tondela vs Torreense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tondela vs Torreense?
Our predicted score is Tondela 1–1 Torreense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tondela vs Torreense?
Tondela vs Torreense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio João Cardoso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
