Portimonense travel to Municipal de Amarante in the Segunda Liga on Saturday 10 October (14:00 WAT) to face Amarante. Amarante are 14th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Portimonense sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Amarante's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Ponte da Barca 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portimonense's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Castro Daire 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Amarante and 0.9 for Portimonense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Amarante 1–1 Portimonense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amarante39%fair 2.55 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.80
Portimonense35%fair 2.87 · @2.75
1.92Expected goals
1.00Amarante xG
0.92Portimonense xG
54%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Amarante 1.0 – 0.9 Portimonense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amarante to win✗
39%
2.55
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Form
Amarante – last 6
WDLWDL
20 Sep
@ Ponte da Barca
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs União de Leiria
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Leixoes
1–3
L
30 Aug
vs Benfica B
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Vizela
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Portimonense – last 6
WLLLDW
19 Sep
@ Castro Daire
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Tondela
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ União de Leiria
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Leixoes
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Benfica B
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Vizela
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amarante and Portimonense.
What is the prediction for Amarante vs Portimonense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Amarante vs Portimonense?
On our numbers Amarante have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Portimonense 35%.
How many goals will there be in Amarante vs Portimonense?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amarante vs Portimonense?
Our predicted score is Amarante 1–1 Portimonense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Amarante vs Portimonense?
Amarante vs Portimonense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Amarante.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
