Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.81
Portimonense vs Tondela preview and prediction
The match
Portimonense host Tondela in the Segunda Liga on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Portimonense are 10th with 14 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Tondela sit 7th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Portimonense's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to União de Leiria 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tondela's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat FC Porto B 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Portimonense and 1.0 for Tondela. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Portimonense 0–0 Tondela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portimonense36%fair 2.77 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Tondela39%fair 2.53 · @2.25
1.90Expected goals
0.92Portimonense xG
0.98Tondela xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Portimonense 0.9 – 1.0 Tondela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tondela to win✓
39%
2.53
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.81
–
Form
Portimonense – last 6
LLDWWL
6 Sep
@ União de Leiria
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Leixoes
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Benfica B
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Vizela
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Penafiel
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Nottingham Forest
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tondela – last 6
WLLLWL
5 Sep
vs FC Porto B
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ União de Leiria
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Academica
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Leixoes
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Amarante
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Rio Ave
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portimonense and Tondela.
What is the prediction for Portimonense vs Tondela?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Portimonense vs Tondela?
On our numbers Portimonense have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tondela 39%.
How many goals will there be in Portimonense vs Tondela?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portimonense vs Tondela?
Our predicted score is Portimonense 0–0 Tondela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Portimonense vs Tondela?
Portimonense vs Tondela (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
