Value bet: Portimonense to win @ 2.92 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeixoes to win ✓40% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.73
Portimonense vs Leixoes preview and prediction
The match
Portimonense host Leixoes in the Segunda Liga on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Portimonense are 10th with 14 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Leixoes sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Portimonense's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Benfica B 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leixoes's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to União de Leiria 2–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Leixoes 2–0 Portimonense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Portimonense and 1.2 for Leixoes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Portimonense to win at 2.92 – 36% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Portimonense 1–1 Leixoes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portimonense36%fair 2.75 · @2.92
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.25
Leixoes40%fair 2.52 · @2.28
2.36Expected goals
1.15Portimonense xG
1.21Leixoes xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Portimonense 1.1 – 1.2 Leixoes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Portimonense vs Leixoes?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Portimonense vs Leixoes?
On our numbers Portimonense have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leixoes 40%.
How many goals will there be in Portimonense vs Leixoes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portimonense vs Leixoes?
Our predicted score is Portimonense 1–1 Leixoes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Portimonense vs Leixoes?
Portimonense vs Leixoes (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
