The Segunda Liga sees FC Porto B take on Penafiel on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes. FC Porto B are 16th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Penafiel sit 1st on 22 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Porto B's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Feirense 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Penafiel's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Sporting CP B 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for FC Porto B and 1.3 for Penafiel. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Porto B 34%, draw 24%, Penafiel 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FC Porto B 1–1 Penafiel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Porto B34%fair 2.91 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Penafiel42%fair 2.41 · @2.38
2.40Expected goals
1.13FC Porto B xG
1.27Penafiel xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: FC Porto B 1.1 – 1.3 Penafiel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penafiel to win✓
42%
2.41
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penafiel / FT Penafiel✓
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.07
–
Form
FC Porto B – last 6
WLLDLW
24 Aug
@ Feirense
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Farense
1–3
L
10 Aug
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
0–2
L
29 Jul
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Academica
1–3
L
4 May
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Penafiel – last 6
WDLLDL
23 Aug
vs Sporting CP B
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Torreense
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Portimonense
0–1
L
24 Jul
vs Leganes
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Famalicao
0–0
D
17 May
@ Pacos Ferreira
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Porto B and Penafiel.
What is the prediction for FC Porto B vs Penafiel?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Porto B vs Penafiel?
On our numbers FC Porto B have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Penafiel 42%.
How many goals will there be in FC Porto B vs Penafiel?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Porto B vs Penafiel?
Our predicted score is FC Porto B 1–1 Penafiel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FC Porto B vs Penafiel?
FC Porto B vs Penafiel (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
