Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Benfica B to win @ 2.32 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBenfica B to win ✗50% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.19
Amarante vs Benfica B preview and prediction
The match
Amarante host Benfica B in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Amarante Stadium. Amarante are 14th with 9 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Benfica B sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Amarante's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Vizela 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Benfica B's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Portimonense 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Benfica B arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.8 for Amarante and 1.2 for Benfica B. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Amarante 27%, draw 22%, Benfica B 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Benfica B to win at 2.32 – 50% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Amarante 0–1 Benfica B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amarante27%fair 3.66 · @2.95
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.15
Benfica B50%fair 1.98 · @2.32
2.04Expected goals
0.80Amarante xG
1.25Benfica B xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–013%
1–113%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Amarante 0.8 – 1.2 Benfica B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica B to win✗
50%
1.98
2.32 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica B / FT Benfica B✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.19
–
Form
Amarante – last 6
DLLLLW
22 Aug
@ Vizela
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Tondela
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Moreirense
0–2
L
22 Jul
@ Chaves
1–2
L
10 May
vs União Santarém
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Benfica B – last 6
DWWWWW
21 Aug
vs Portimonense
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ União de Leiria
2–1
W
10 Aug
vs Leixoes
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Atlético CP
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Mérida AD
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Casa Pia
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amarante and Benfica B.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Amarante vs Benfica B?
On our numbers Amarante have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Benfica B 50%.
How many goals will there be in Amarante vs Benfica B?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amarante vs Benfica B?
Our predicted score is Amarante 0–1 Benfica B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Amarante vs Benfica B?
Amarante vs Benfica B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Amarante Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
