Wednesday, 11 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
2–0
FT

Penafiel vs Sporting CP B prediction & analysis

54%
Footrivo pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPenafiel to win ✓40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.28

Penafiel vs Sporting CP B preview and prediction

The match

Sporting CP B travel to Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 23 August (14:00 WAT) to face Penafiel. Penafiel are 1st with 22 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Sporting CP B sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Penafiel's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Torreense 2–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Sporting CP B's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Chaves 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.

Sporting CP B arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Sporting CP B 1–2 Penafiel.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Penafiel and 0.8 for Sporting CP B. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Penafiel 0–0 Sporting CP B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Penafiel40%fair 2.49 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Sporting CP B35%fair 2.82 · @2.62
1.75Expected goals
0.92Penafiel xG
0.83Sporting CP B xG
46%Both score
26%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%

From our goals model: Penafiel 0.9 – 0.8 Sporting CP B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPenafiel to win ✓40%2.492.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.871.85
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓52%1.92–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗53%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.28–

Form

Penafiel – last 6

DLLDLL
15 Aug@ Torreense2–2D
8 Augvs Portimonense0–1L
24 Julvs Leganes0–2L
18 Jul@ Famalicao0–0D
17 May@ Pacos Ferreira1–2L
4 May@ Torreense2–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sporting CP B – last 6

WWLLLL
15 Augvs Chaves1–0W
9 Aug@ AVS1–0W
1 Aug@ Alverca0–1L
1 Mayvs Benfica B0–1L
26 Apr@ Vizela0–1L
20 Aprvs Felgueiras 19320–1L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Sporting CP B v Penafiel1–2
Penafiel vs Sporting CP B head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Penafiel vs Sporting CP B?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Penafiel vs Sporting CP B?

On our numbers Penafiel have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sporting CP B 35%.

How many goals will there be in Penafiel vs Sporting CP B?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Penafiel vs Sporting CP B?

Our predicted score is Penafiel 0–0 Sporting CP B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Penafiel vs Sporting CP B?

Penafiel vs Sporting CP B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.