Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChaves to win ✗58% · @1.80
Double chanceChaves or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.21
Chaves vs AVS preview and prediction
The match
Chaves host AVS in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Chaves. Chaves are 17th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while AVS sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Chaves's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Sporting CP B 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
AVS's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Felgueiras 1932 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
AVS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 July 2026, finished AVS 0–1 Chaves.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Chaves and 0.7 for AVS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chaves 58%, draw 23%, AVS 19%.
Safer route: Chaves or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chaves or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chaves 1–0 AVS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chaves58%fair 1.73 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
AVS19%fair 5.25 · @4.00
2.25Expected goals
1.53Chaves xG
0.72AVS xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Chaves 1.5 – 0.7 AVS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Chaves or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chaves vs AVS?
On our numbers Chaves have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AVS 19%.
How many goals will there be in Chaves vs AVS?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chaves vs AVS?
Our predicted score is Chaves 1–0 AVS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Chaves vs AVS?
Chaves vs AVS (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Chaves.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
