Value bet: Benfica B to win @ 1.82 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBenfica B to win ✗63% · @1.82
Double chanceBenfica B or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.62
Benfica B vs Portimonense preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees Benfica B take on Portimonense on Friday 21 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Benfica Campus. Benfica B are 3rd with 20 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Portimonense sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Benfica B's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat União de Leiria 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portimonense's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Vizela 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Benfica B arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Benfica B and 0.6 for Portimonense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Benfica B 63%, draw 24%, Portimonense 12%.
Safer route: Benfica B or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Benfica B to win at 1.82 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Benfica B 1–0 Portimonense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Benfica B63%fair 1.58 · @1.82
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.45
Portimonense12%fair 8.04 · @4.00
2.23Expected goals
1.65Benfica B xG
0.58Portimonense xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Benfica B 1.6 – 0.6 Portimonense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica B to win✗
63%
1.58
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Benfica B or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica B / FT Benfica B✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.62
–
Form
Benfica B – last 6
WWWWWD
15 Aug
@ União de Leiria
2–1
W
10 Aug
vs Leixoes
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Atlético CP
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Mérida AD
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Casa Pia
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Farense
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Portimonense – last 6
WWLLWW
16 Aug
vs Vizela
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Penafiel
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Nottingham Forest
1–2
L
15 Jul
vs Rio Ave
0–3
L
17 May
vs Farense
1–0
W
3 May
vs Chaves
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benfica B and Portimonense.
What is the prediction for Benfica B vs Portimonense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Benfica B vs Portimonense?
On our numbers Benfica B have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Portimonense 12%.
How many goals will there be in Benfica B vs Portimonense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benfica B vs Portimonense?
Our predicted score is Benfica B 1–0 Portimonense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Benfica B vs Portimonense?
Benfica B vs Portimonense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Benfica Campus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
