VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
VfL Bochum or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: VfL Bochum to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVfL Bochum to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceVfL Bochum or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.67
VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Bundesliga sees VfL Bochum take on SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion. VfL Bochum are 8th with 14 points from 11 games (in the top half), while SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
VfL Bochum's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Dynamo Dresden 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to 1. FC Heidenheim 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
VfL Bochum arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–2 VfL Bochum. Across their last 2 meetings VfL Bochum have won 2, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for VfL Bochum and 0.9 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: VfL Bochum to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was VfL Bochum or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: VfL Bochum 1–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
VfL Bochum59%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.60
SpVgg Greuther Fürth21%fair 4.87 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.80VfL Bochum xG
0.95SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: VfL Bochum 1.8 – 0.9 SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our pick is VfL Bochum or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
On our numbers VfL Bochum have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 21%.
How many goals will there be in VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our predicted score is VfL Bochum 1–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
