Value bet: VfL Bochum to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDynamo Dresden to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.53
Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum preview and prediction
The match
VfL Bochum travel to Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 5 September (19:30 WAT) to face Dynamo Dresden. Dynamo Dresden are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while VfL Bochum sit 8th on 14 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dynamo Dresden's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to 1. FC Heidenheim 3–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
VfL Bochum's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to VfL Osnabrück 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Dynamo Dresden and 1.3 for VfL Bochum. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dynamo Dresden 45%, draw 20%, VfL Bochum 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Value angle: VfL Bochum to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Dynamo Dresden 1–1 VfL Bochum. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dynamo Dresden45%fair 2.20 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.65
VfL Bochum34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
2.76Expected goals
1.50Dynamo Dresden xG
1.26VfL Bochum xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Dynamo Dresden 1.5 – 1.3 VfL Bochum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo Dresden to win✗
45%
2.20
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo Dresden / FT Dynamo Dresden✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.53
–
Form
Dynamo Dresden – last 6
LWWLWL
29 Aug
@ 1. FC Heidenheim
3–5
L
23 Aug
@ Westfalia Rhynern
6–0
W
16 Aug
vs SV Darmstadt 98
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Union Berlin
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Energie Cottbus
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
VfL Bochum – last 6
LWWLDL
28 Aug
vs VfL Osnabrück
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Hertha BSC
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Sheffield Utd
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Werder Bremen
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dynamo Dresden and VfL Bochum.
What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum?
On our numbers Dynamo Dresden have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and VfL Bochum 34%.
How many goals will there be in Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum?
Our predicted score is Dynamo Dresden 1–1 VfL Bochum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum?
Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Bochum (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
