Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: 1. FC Nürnberg to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Result1. FC Nürnberg to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.19
Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Bundesliga sees Holstein Kiel take on 1. FC Nürnberg on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Holstein-Stadion. Holstein Kiel are 18th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while 1. FC Nürnberg sit 2nd on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Holstein Kiel's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to 1. FC Magdeburg 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
1. FC Nürnberg's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Arminia Bielefeld 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
1. FC Nürnberg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.9 for Holstein Kiel and 2.1 for 1. FC Nürnberg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Holstein Kiel 36%, draw 23%, 1. FC Nürnberg 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.50.
Value angle: 1. FC Nürnberg to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Holstein Kiel 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Holstein Kiel36%fair 2.79 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.40
1. FC Nürnberg41%fair 2.42 · @2.75
4.00Expected goals
1.93Holstein Kiel xG
2.071. FC Nürnberg xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Holstein Kiel 1.9 – 2.1 1. FC Nürnberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1. FC Nürnberg to win✗
41%
2.42
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
1. FC Nürnberg ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Nürnberg / FT 1. FC Nürnberg✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.19
–
Form
Holstein Kiel – last 6
LWDDLL
30 Aug
@ 1. FC Magdeburg
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ TSV 1860 München
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs FC St. Pauli
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ SV Darmstadt 98
2–2
D
29 Jul
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ FSV Mainz 05
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
1. FC Nürnberg – last 6
WDWWWD
29 Aug
vs Arminia Bielefeld
4–1
W
22 Aug
@ FC Viktoria Köln
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4–2
W
9 Aug
vs Dynamo Dresden
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Oviedo
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Palermo
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Nürnberg.
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
On our numbers Holstein Kiel have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and 1. FC Nürnberg 41%.
How many goals will there be in Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Our predicted score is Holstein Kiel 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Holstein-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
