Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.35 – our chance 57% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Result1. FC Magdeburg to win ✓41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗74% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.55
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–3 ✗6% · fair 17.83
VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Magdeburg preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Bundesliga sees VfL Osnabrück take on 1. FC Magdeburg on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Bremer Brücke. VfL Osnabrück are 14th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while 1. FC Magdeburg sit 4th on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
VfL Osnabrück's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to 1. FC Heidenheim 3–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
1. FC Magdeburg's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Eintracht Braunschweig 1–6 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
1. FC Magdeburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.1 goals: 2.5 for VfL Osnabrück and 2.6 for 1. FC Magdeburg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 74% of our simulations.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 2.35 – 57% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.34, so there is value in it. Predicted score: VfL Osnabrück 2–2 1. FC Magdeburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
VfL Osnabrück37%fair 2.72 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.65
1. FC Magdeburg41%fair 2.44 · @2.50
5.07Expected goals
2.47VfL Osnabrück xG
2.601. FC Magdeburg xG
74%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–26%
2–36%
3–25%
1–25%
2–15%
3–35%
From our goals model: VfL Osnabrück 2.5 – 2.6 1. FC Magdeburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1. FC Magdeburg to win✓
41%
2.44
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
74%
1.34
1.44 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.55 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
2.35 ▲
Half-time result
1. FC Magdeburg ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Magdeburg / FT 1. FC Magdeburg✓
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–3✗
6%
17.83
–
Form
VfL Osnabrück – last 6
LLWLDW
8 Aug
@ 1. FC Heidenheim
3–4
L
1 Aug
vs SC Paderborn 07
0–2
L
24 Jul
@ Nordhorn
7–0
W
12 Jul
@ FK Jablonec
0–1
L
9 May
vs SSV Ulm 1846
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Energie Cottbus
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
1. FC Magdeburg – last 6
LDWWLW
8 Aug
vs Eintracht Braunschweig
1–6
L
1 Aug
vs West Ham
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Schöningen
4–0
W
12 Jul
@ BSG Chemie Leipzig
4–1
W
17 May
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–1
L
9 May
@ Holstein Kiel
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VfL Osnabrück and 1. FC Magdeburg.
What is the prediction for VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
On our numbers VfL Osnabrück have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and 1. FC Magdeburg 41%.
How many goals will there be in VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
We expect about 5.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Our predicted score is VfL Osnabrück 2–2 1. FC Magdeburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.1 goals in total.
When is VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
VfL Osnabrück vs 1. FC Magdeburg (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Bremer Brücke.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
