Value bet: 1. FC Nürnberg to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Result1. FC Nürnberg to win ✓49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.67
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg preview and prediction
The match
1. FC Nürnberg travel to Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 15 August (12:00 WAT) to face SpVgg Greuther Fürth. SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 10th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while 1. FC Nürnberg sit 2nd on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
SpVgg Greuther Fürth's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with FC St. Pauli 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
1. FC Nürnberg's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Dynamo Dresden 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 4.2 goals a game.
1. FC Nürnberg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1.6 for 1. FC Nürnberg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: 1. FC Nürnberg to win at 2.25 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SpVgg Greuther Fürth30%fair 3.30 · @2.90
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.60
1. FC Nürnberg49%fair 2.03 · @2.25
2.72Expected goals
1.15SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG
1.571. FC Nürnberg xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.2 – 1.6 1. FC Nürnberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
On our numbers SpVgg Greuther Fürth have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 20% and 1. FC Nürnberg 49%.
How many goals will there be in SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Our predicted score is SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
